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A.K.M. Saiful Islam
Professor, IWFM, BUET
Field of Research - Climate Change, Flood Management, Remote Sensing Hydrology
Coordinator, Climate Change Study Cell, BUET
Member, Institutes of Engineers, Bangladesh
Curriculum Vitae
Dr. A.K.M. Saiful Islam is a Professor at the Institute of Water and Flood management of Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET). He has received a Bachelor of Science in Civil Engineering (1989) from BUET, a Master of Science in Water Resources Engineering (1999) from BUET, and a Ph.D. in Civil Engineering (2004) from Drexel University, USA. His research interests aim at climate change impact on hydrology, water resources management, urban and coastal flood management, remote sensing for disaster risks reduction. His research adopted regional climate modelling, basin-scale hydrological modelling, river hydrodynamic modelling, urban flood modelling, coastal and storm surge modelling, weather forecast modelling, satellite remote sensing for environmental monitoring, hydroinformatics for disaster risks reduction and climate change adaption. He has published over 67 peer-reviewed journal articles, more than 100 conference papers, and contributed to 9 book chapters. Over the past decade, Dr. Islam has led several major international scientific climate change assessments and the reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). He contributed to the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report and IPCC Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C as an Expert Reviewer. He is currently a Lead Author on the IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Report.
Dr. Islam has given more than 200 invited talks and seminars throughout the world, speaking on diverse topics focusing on climate change impacts on water resources, challenges of weather and flood forecasting, urban drainage management, estimation of riverbank erosion using remote sensing, cyclonic storm surges under sea-level rise, changes in meteorological droughts, environmental impact assessment & mitigation, and climate vulnerability & risks assessment. He is teaching about 10 graduate courses and organized many workshops locally and overseas. He also currently serves as the Coordinator of the Climate Change Study Cell at IWFM, BUET.
Current responsibilities
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Lead Author, Sixth Assessment Report, Working Group I (WG I), Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2018-2021.
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Guest Editor, Special Issue on "Hydrology and Climate Change", Water (ISSN 2073-4441), MDPI, 2022-2023.
- Principal Investigator, "Climate change / flood preparedness research for building climate resilient infrastructure", a collaborative research project funded by Local Govt. Engineering Department (LGED) and Sponsored by International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD); Duration: July 2019 – 2022.
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Co-Principal Investigator, "Oasis Platform for Climate and Catastrophe Risk Assessment – Asia", a collaborative research project funded by the Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (BMU), Federal Republic of Germany; Duration: 2018-2021.
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Principal Investigator, "Flash Flood Early Warning System (FEWAS) for the Haor Regions of Bangladesh", a collaborative research project, funded by LGED under HILIP/CALIP project of IFAD; Duration: 2014-2022.
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Principal Investigator, "Estimation of SLR in Bangladesh using Satellite Altimetry", a collaborative project funded by Department of Environment (DOE); Duration: 2018-2022.
- Group Leader, Hydrology and Climate Change Modeling Group, IWFM, BUET. Responsible for climate change and weather modeling using RCM and coupled hydrological-hydrodynamic modeling for large river basins, urban and riverine flooding and coastal processes influenced by sea level rise.
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Advisor/In-charge: 'Remote Sensing and GIS Lab' and 'Climate Modeling and Simulation Lab' of the institute.
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Fellow, Institute of Engineers, Bangladesh (IEB).
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Member, Bangladesh Society of Geo Informatics (BSGI), Bangladesh.
- Coordinator, Climate Change Study Cell, BUET.
Publications
2023
Islam, A. T., Islam, A. S., Islam, G. T., Bala, S. K., Salehin, M., Choudhury, A. K., ... & Mahboob, M. G. (2023). Simulation of water productivity of wheat in northwestern Bangladesh using multi-satellite data. Agricultural Water Management, 281, 108242.
Chowdhury, M. E., Islam, A. S., Lemans, M., Hegnauer, M., Sajib, A. R., Pieu, N. M., ... & Bhuyan, A. (2022). An efficient flash flood forecasting system for the un-gaged Meghna basin using open source platform Delft-FEWS. Environmental Modelling & Software, 105614.
Imran, H. M., Kala, J., Uddin, S., Islam, A. S., & Acharya, N. (2022). Spatiotemporal analysis of temperature and precipitation extremes over Bangladesh using a novel gridded observational dataset. Weather and Climate Extremes, 39, 100544.
Thomas, M., Tellman, E., Osgood, D., DeVries, B., Islam, A. S., Steckler, M. S., ... & Billah, M. (2023). A framework to assess remote sensing algorithms for satellite-based flood index insurance. IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing.
Islam, A. S., Khan, A. S., Islam, G. T., Bhattacharya, B., Ali, M. H., & Hossain, M. S. (2023). Tidal River Management in the Southwest Region of Bangladesh Using Mathematical Modelling. In Transcending Humanitarian Engineering Strategies for Sustainable Futures (pp. 20-38). IGI Global.
Islam, G. T., Kremmyda, G., Georgoulas, A., Koumpouros, Y., Islam, S. L. U., Islam, A. S., ... & Shoeb, M. (2023). Examining the Quality Assurance in Engineering Education in Bangladesh. In Transcending Humanitarian Engineering Strategies for Sustainable Futures (pp. 263-275). IGI Global.
2022
Chen, J., Mueller, V., Durand, F., Lisco, E., Zhong, Q., Sherin, V. R., & Islam, A.S. (2022). Salinization of the Bangladesh Delta worsens economic precarity. Population and Environment, 44(3), 226-247.
Ruane, A. C., Vautard, R., Ranasinghe, R., Sillmann, J., Coppola, E., Arnell, N., ... & Zaaboul, R. (2022). The Climatic Impact‐Driver Framework for Assessment of Risk‐Relevant Climate Information. Earth's Future, 10(11), e2022EF002803.
Roy, B., Hussain, M. M., Islam, A. S., Rahman, M. A., & Mohammed, K. (2022). Assessment of Flood Hazard in Climatic Extreme Considering Fluvio-Morphic Responses of the Contributing River: Indications from the Brahmaputra-Jamuna’s Braided-Plain. GeoHazards, 3(4), 465-491.
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Gädeke, A., Wortmann, M., Menz, C., Islam, A. S., Masood, M., Krysanova, V., ... & Hattermann, F. (2022). Climate impact emergence and flood peak synchronization projections in the Ganges, Brahmaputra and Meghan basins under CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios. Environmental Research Letters (accepted).
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Khan, M. J. U., Durand, F., Bertin, X., Testut, L., Krien, Y., Islam, A.S., ... & Hossain, S. (2021). Storm surge hazard over Bengal delta: a probabilistic–deterministic modelling approach. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 22(7), 2359-2379.
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Mitchell D, Hawker L, Savage J, Bingham R, Lord NS, Khan MJ, Bates P, Durand F, Hassan A, Huq S, Islam AS. (2022). Increased population exposure to Amphan-scale cyclones under future climates. Climate Resilience and Sustainability. doi: 10.1002/cli2.36
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Islam A.T., Islam A.S. , Islam G.T., Bala S.K., Salehin M., Choudhury A.K., Dey N.C., Hossain A.(2022) Adaptation strategies to increase water productivity of wheat under changing climate. Agricultural Water Management, 264, 107499
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Tellman, B., Lall, U., Islam, A.S. and Bhuyan, M.A (2022). Regional Index Insurance Using Satellite-Based Fractional Flooded Area. Earth's Future, 10(3), p.e2021EF002418. doi: 10.1029/2021EF002418
2021
- Newton, I. H., Islam, G. T., Islam, A.S., Razzaque, S., & Bala, S. K. (2021). A conjugate application of MODIS/Terra data and empirical method to assess reference evapotranspiration for the southwest region of Bangladesh. Environmental Earth Sciences, 80(6), 1-22.
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Nowreen, S., Newton, I.H., Zaman, R.U., Islam, A.S., Islam, G.M.T., Alam, S. (2021) Development of potential map for groundwater abstraction in the Northwest region of Bangladesh using RS-GIS based weighted overlay analysis and water-table-fluctuation technique. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment. 193(24), doi: 10.1007/s10661-020-08790-5
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Roy, B., Khan, M. S. M., Islam, A. S., Mohammed, K., & Khan, M. J. U. (2021). Climate-induced flood inundation for the Arial Khan River of Bangladesh using open-source SWAT and HEC-RAS model for RCP8. 5-SSP5 scenario. SN Applied Sciences, 3(6), 1-13. doi: 10.1007/s42452-021-04460-4.
- Imran, HM, Hossain, A, Islam, A.S. et al. (2021) Impact of Land Cover Changes on Land Surface Temperature and Human Thermal Comfort in Dhaka City of Bangladesh. Earth Systems and Environment. 1-27 doi: 10.1007/s41748-021-00243-4
- Roy, B., Islam, GMT, Islam, A.S., Bhattacharya, B, Khan, MJU (2021). Trend Analysis of pre-monsoon flash floods to assess the impact on Boro Productivity for the Northeast Haor region of Bangladesh, Water Productivity Journal. doi: 10.22034/WPJ.2021.272369.1030
- Roy, B., Islam, GMT, Islam, A.S., Bhattacharya, B, Khan, MJU (2021) Future Flood Risk Assessment of the Arial Khan River under Climate Change: Transforming Risks from Transboundary River Basins to Local Administrative Level. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 12 (7): 3421–3447. doi: 10.2166/wcc.2021.341
2020
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Khan, M. J. U., Durand, F., Testut, L., Krien, Y., & Islam, A.S. (2020) Sea level rise inducing tidal modulation along the coasts of Bengal delta. Continental Shelf Research, 104289.
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Khan, M.J.U., Islam, A.S., Das, M.K., Mohammed, K., Bala, S.K., Islam, G.M.T. (2020) Spatiotemporal Change of Drought in Bangladesh under Extreme Climate Scenario. Climatic Change, 1-19 doi:10.1007/s10584-020-02832-0
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Huq, S., Ali, M.M., Islam, A.S., Khan, M.J.U. (2020) Changes in Flow and Sediment Load of Poorly Gauged Brahmaputra River Basin under an Extreme Climate Scenario. Journal of Water & Climate Change. doi: 10.2166/wcc.2020.219
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Sherin, V. R., Durand, F., Papa, F., Islam, A. S., Gopalakrishna, V. V., Khaki, M., & Suneel, V.(2020) Recent salinity intrusion in the Bengal delta: Observations and possible causes Continental Shelf Research, 104142., doi: 10.1016/j.csr.2020.104142
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Khan, M.J.U., Islam, A.S., Bala, S.K., Islam, G.M.T (2020) Changes of climate extremes over Bangladesh at 1.5°C, 2°C and 4°C of global warming. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, doi: 10.1007/s00704-020-03164-w
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Daisy, SS, Islam, A.S., Akanda, A.S., Faruque, A.S.G., Amin, N., Jensen, PM (2020) Developing a forecasting model for cholera incidence in Dhaka megacity through time series climate data, Journal of Water and Health, doi: 10.2166/wh.2020.133
- Charls, A., Unnikrishnan, A.S., Yann, K., Murty, P.L.N., Samiksha, S.V., Islam, A.S. (2020) Tide-surge interaction at the head of the Bay of Bengal during Cyclone Aila. Regional Studies in Marine Science, 35. doi:10.1016/j.rsma.2020.101133
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Becker, M., Papa, F., Karpytchev, M., Delebecque, C., Krien, Y., Khan, J.U., Ballu, V., Durand, F., Le Cozannet, G., Islam, A.S. and Calmant, S (2020). Water level changes, subsidence, and sea level rise in the Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna delta.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS). 117 (4) 1867-1876. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1912921117
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Raihan, F., Beaumont, L., Mania, J. , Islam, A.S., Harrison, S.P. (2020) Simulating Streamflow in the Upper Halda Basin of Southeastern Bangladesh Using SWAT Model, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 65(1), 138-151.doi: 10.1080/02626667.2019.1682149
2019
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Khan, M.J.U., Ansary, M.D., Durand, F., Testut, L., Ishaque, M., Calmant, S., Krien, Y., Islam, A.S. and Papa, F. (2019). High-Resolution Intertidal Topography from Sentinel-2 Multi-Spectral Imagery: Synergy between Remote Sensing and Numerical Modeling. Remote Sensing, 11(24), 2888. doi: 10.3390/rs11242888
- Das, M. K., Islam, A. S., Karmakar, S., Khan, M. J. U., Mohammed, K., Islam, G. T., ... & Hopson, T. M. (2019). Synoptic flow patterns and large-scale characteristics of flash flood-producing rainstorms over northeast Bangladesh. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 1-17.doi: 10.1007/s00703-019-00709-1
- Basher, A., Islam, A. S., Stiller-Reeve, M. A., & Chu, P. S. (2019) Changes in future rainfall extremes over Northeast Bangladesh: A Bayesian model averaging approach. International Journal of Climatology, doi:10.1002/joc.6394
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Rahman, S., Islam, A.S., Tazkia, A.R., Shaha, P.K., Krien, Y., Durand, F., Testut L., Islam, G.M.T., Bala S.K. (2019) Projected changes of inundation of cyclonic storms in the Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna delta of Bangladesh due to SLR by 2100. Journal of Earth System Science,128(6), 145. doi: 10.1007/s12040-019-1184-8
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Uhe, P. Mitchell, D., Bates, P., Sampson, C., Smith, A., Islam, A.S. (2019) Enhanced flood risk with 1.5C global warming in the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna basin. Environmental Research Letter, 14(7), doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab10ee.
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Roy, B, Islam, A.S., Islam, G.M.T., Bhattacharya, B., Ali, M.H., Khan, A.S., Hossain, M.S., Sarker, J.C. and Khan, M..U. (2019) Frequency Analysis of Flash Floods for Establishing New Danger Levels for the Rivers in the Northeast Haor Region of Bangladesh. Journal of Hydrological Engineering, 24(4), 05019004. doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001760
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Philip, S., Sparrow, S., Kew, S., Van Der Weil, K., Wanders, N., Singh, R., Hassan, A., Mohammed, K., Javid, H., Haustein, K., Otto, F., Hirpa, F., Rimi, R.H., Islam, A.S., Wallom,D.C.H. and Oldenborgh, G.J. (2019) Attributing the 2017 Bangladesh floods from meteorological and hydrological perspectives. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23, 1409-1429. doi:10.5194/hess-23-1409-2019
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Khan, M.J.U., Islam, A.S., Das, M.K., Mohammed, K.,Bala, S.K., Islam, G.M.T. (2019) Observed Trends in Climate Extremes over Bangladesh from 1981 to 2010. Climate Research, 77(1), 45-61. doi:10.3354/cr01539
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Uddin, MN, Islam, A.S., Bala, SK, Islam, GMT, Adhikary, S, Shaha, D, Haque, S, Fahad, GR, Akhter, R (2019) Mapping of Climate Vulnerability of the Coastal Regions of Bangladesh using Principal Component Analysis. Applied Geography, 102, 47-57. doi:10.1016/j.apgeog.2018.12.011
2018
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Krien, Y.; Arnaud, G.; Cécé, R.; Ruf, C.; Belmadani, A.; Khan, J.; Bernard, D.; Islam, A.S.; Durand, F.; Testut, L.; Palany, P.; Zahibo, N.(2018) Can We Improve Parametric Cyclonic Wind Fields Using Recent Satellite Remote Sensing Data? Remote Sens., 10, 1963.doi:10.3390/rs10121963
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Newton, I. H., Islam, A. M. T., Islam, A. S., Islam, G. T., Tahsin, A., & Razzaque, S. (2018). Yield Prediction Model for Potato Using Landsat Time Series Images Driven Vegetation Indices. Remote Sensing in Earth Systems Sciences, 1(1-2), 29-38. doi:10.1007/s41976-018-0006-0
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Mohammed, K, Islam A.S., Islam, G.M.T., Alferi, L., Bala S.K., Khan, M.J.U. (2018) Future floods in Bangladesh under 1.5°C, 2°C and 4°C global warming scenarios. Journal of Hydrological Engineering, 23(12), 04018050. doi:abs/10.1061/%28ASCE%29HE.1943-5584.0001705
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Matthias, B., Fabien, D., Yann, K., Khan, M.J.U., Marufa, I., Laurent, T., Stéphane, C., Philippe, M., Islam, A.S., Papa, Fabrice, Sylvain (2018) Topography of the intertidal zone along the shoreline of Chittagong (Bangladesh) using PROBA-V imagery. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 1-21. doi:10.1080/01431161.2018.1504341
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Hasan, MA and Islam, A.S. (2018) Evaluation of Microphysics and Cumulus Schemes of WRF for Forecasting of Heavy Monsoon Rainfall over the Southeastern Hilly Region of Bangladesh. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 1-30. doi:10.1007/s00024-018-1876-z
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Ali, M.H., Bhattacharya, B., Islam, A.S., Islam, G.M.T., Hossain, M.S., Khan, A.S. (2018) Challenges for flood risk management in flood prone Sirajganj region of Bangladesh. Journal of Flood Risk Management, doi: 10.1111/jfr3.12450
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Lorenzo A., Sagy, C., John, G., Guy, J-P.S., Mark, A.T., Ervin, Z., Christel, P., Andrew, K., Erin, C. de P., Zachary F., Roberto, R., Huan, W., Robert, F.A., Robert, G.B. , Albert, K., Albrecht, W., Patrick, M., Islam, A.S., Tom, de G., Peter, S. (2018). A global network for operational flood risk reduction. Environmental Science & Policy, 84, 149-158. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2018.03.014
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Fahad, M.G., Islam, A.S., Nazari, R., Hasan, M.A., Islam, G.M.T., Bala, S.K. (2018) Regional changes of precipitation and temperature over Bangladesh using bias corrected multi-model ensemble projections considering high emission pathways. International Journal of Climatology, 38(4), 1634-1648. doi:10.1002/joc.5284
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Mondal, S.M., Islam, A.S., Haque, A., Islam, M.R., Biswas, S. and Mahmud, K. (2018) Assessing High-End Climate Change Impacts on Floods in Major Rivers of Bangladesh Using Multi-Model Simulations. Global Science and Technology Journal, 6(2), 1-14.
2017
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Mohammed, K, Islam A.S., Islam, G.M.T., Alferi, L., Bala S.K., Khan, M.J.U. (2017) Impact of High-End Climate Change on Floods and Low Flows of the Brahmaputra River. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 22 (10), doi: 10.1061/%28ASCE%29HE.1943-5584.0001567.
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Mohammed, K, Islam A.S., Islam, G.M.T., Bala S.K., Alferi, L., Khan, M.J.U., Das, M.K (2017) Extreme flows and water availability of the Brahmaputra River under 1.5°C and 2°C global warming scenarios. Climatic Change, pp 1-17, doi: 10.1007/s10584-017-2073-2.
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Islam A.S., Paul, S., Mohammed, K., Billah, M., Fahad, M.G.R., Hasan, M.A., Islam, G.M.T., Bala, S.K. (2017) Hydrological response to climate change of the Brahmaputra basin using CMIP5 General Circulation Model ensemble. Journal of Water and Climate, doi:10.2166/wcc.2017.076.
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Basher, Md, Stiller-Reeve, M., Islam A.S. and Scott, B. (2017) Assessing extreme rainfall trends over the northeast regions of Bangladesh, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 1-12, doi: 10.1007/s00704-017-2285-4.
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Krien, Y., Testut, L., Islam, A.S., Bertin, X., Durand, F., Mayet, C., Tazkia, A.R., Becker, M., Calmant, S., Papa, F., Ballu, V., Shum, C.K., Khan, Z.H. (2017) Towards improved storm surge models in the northern Bay of Bengal. Continental Shelf Research, 135:58-73, doi:135:58-73. 10.1016/j.csr.2017.01.014.
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Dey, N. C., Saha, R., Parvez, M., Bala, S. K., Islam, A. S., Paul, J. K., Hossain, M. (2017). Sustainability of Groundwater Use for Irrigation of Dry-Season Crops in Northwest Bangladesh. , Groundwater for Sustainable Development, 4, pp. 66–77. doi:10.1016/j.gsd.2017.02.001
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Tazkia A. R., Krien Y., Durand F., Islam A.S., Testut L., Papa F. and Bertin X. (2017), Seasonal modulation of M2 tide in the northern Bay of Bengal, Continental Shelf Research, 137, pp. 154-162. doi:10.1016/j.csr.2016.12.008.
2016
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Bricheno, L.M., Wolf, J., Islam, A.S. (2016) Tidal intrusion within a mega delta: An unstructured grid modelling approach. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 182(5), pp. 12-26. doi:10.1016/j.ecss.2016.09.014.
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Krien, Y., Mayet, C., Testut, L., Durand, F., Tazkia, A.R., Islam, A.S., Gopalakrishna, V., Becker, M., Calmant, S., Shum, C.K., Khan, Z.H, Papa, F., Ballu, V. (2016) Improved bathymetric dataset and tidal model for the northern Bay of Bengal. Marine Geodesy , 39(6), pp. 422-438. doi:10.1080/01490419.2016.1227405.
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Mostafa, S.H., Islam, A.S., Ali, M., Billah, M. and Fahad, G.M. (2016) Impact of climate change of Brahmaputra River Basin on Urban Drainage of Goranchatbari, Dhaka, International Journal of Scientific & Engineering Research, 7(6), pp. 765-779.
2015
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Fariborz, N.A., Jutla, A.S., Rahimikollu, J., Akanda, A.S., Unnikrishnan, A., Islam, A.S., Huq, A., and Colwell, R.R. (2015). Downscaling river discharge to assess the effects of climate change on cholera outbreaks in the Bengal Delta Climate Research, 64(3), pp. 527-574, doi: 10.3354/cr01310.
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Kay,S., Caesar,J., Wolf,J., Bricheno,L., Nicholls,R.J., Islam, A.S., Haque, A., Pardaens, A. and Lowe, J.A. (2015) Modelling the increased frequency of extreme sea levels in the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna delta due to sea level rise and other effects of climate change, Environ. Sci.: Processes Impacts, 2015 (17) 1311-1322. doi: 10.1039/C4EM00683F
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Islam, G.M.T., Islam, A.S., Shopan, A.A., Rahman,M.M., Lazar,A.N., and Mukhopadhyay, A. (2015) Implications of Agricultural Land Use Change to Ecosystem Services in the Ganges Delta, Journal of Environmental Management, 161(15), 443-452.doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2014.11.018
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Nowreen, S., Murshed, S.B., Islam, A.S., Bhaskaran, B. and Hasan, M.A. (2015), Changes of Rainfall Extremes around the Haor Basin Areas of Bangladesh using Multi-member Ensemble RCM, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 119(1-2), pp 363-377. doi:10.1007/s00704-014-1101-7
2014
2013
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Nowreen, S., Murshed, S., Islam, A.S., Hasan,M.A. Sarker, T.K. (2013) An Indicator of Climate Change in the South West Region of Bangladesh, International Journal of Climate Change: Impacts and Responses, 4(3), pp.47-60.
2012
2011
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Islam, A.S., Bala, S.K. Hussain, M. A., Hossain, M.A. and Rahman, M. (2011), Field investigation on the performances of the coastal structures during Cyclone SIDR, Natural Hazards Review, ASCE, 12, pp. 111-116. doi:
2010
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Islam, A.S., Bala, S.K. and Haque, A. (2010) Flood Inundation map of Bangladesh using MODIS time series images", Journal of Flood Risk Management, 3(3), pp. 210-222. doi:
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Islam, A.S. (2010) Improving flood forecasting of Bangladesh using Artificial Neural Network, International Journal of Hydro Informatics, IAHR-IWA-IAHS, 12(3), pp. 351-364. doi:
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Islam, A.S., Bala, S.K. and Haque, A. (2010) Hydrologic Characteristics of Floods in Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) Delta, Natural Hazards, 54(3), pp.797-811. doi:
2009
2008
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Islam, A.S. and Bala, S.K. (2008), Assessment of potato phenological characteristics using MODIS derived NDVI and LAI Information, GIScience & Remote Sensing, 45(4),pp.443-453.doi:10.2747/1548-1603.45.4.454
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Islam, A.S. and Piasecki, M. (2008) Ontology Based Web Simulation System for Hydrodynamic Modeling, Simulation Modelling practice and theory, 16(7), pp. 754-767. doi:10.1016/j.simpat.2008.04.019
2006
2003
2002
Chapter in Edited Books
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Islam, M. N., Islam, A.S., Hayashi, T., Terao, T. and H. Uyeda (2002) Application of a Method to Estimate Rainfall in Bangladesh Using GMS-5 Data, Journal of Natural Disaster Science, Japan, 24(2), pp. 83-89.
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Environmental Change in South Asia
The Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) river system plays a key role in the survival and development of more than 670 million people in South Asia. The extreme flows of the GBM rivers also dictate the occurrences of floods and hydrological droughts in Bangladesh, which lies at the delta of this river system. This study was undertaken to assess the impacts of high-end climate change on the extreme flows as well as the mean monthly flows of these rivers at their downstream locations inside Bangladesh. SWAT Hydrological modeling tools were used to simulate future flows using climate projections collected from the CORDEX initiative. The mean monthly flows are likely to increase in most months of the future in the GBM rivers, and the increases are likely to be largest in the Ganges River compared to the other two rivers in terms of percentage changes. Flood flows and low flows are projected to increase in all three rivers. The frequency of occurrence of flood flows is likely to increase and that of low flows are likely to decrease, especially near the end of this century. The projections presented in this article can be useful in adaptation planning as well as in supporting discussions on mitigation policies..
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Technical Summary (Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis)
The Working Group I contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report addresses the most up-to-date physical understanding of the climate system and climate change, bringing together the latest advances in climate science, and combining multiple lines of evidence from paleoclimate, observations, process understanding, and global and regional climate simulations. The report projects that in the coming decades climate changes will increase in all regions. For 1.5°C of global warming, there will be increasing heat waves, longer warm seasons and shorter cold seasons. At 2°C of global warming, heat extremes would more often reach critical tolerance thresholds for agriculture and health, the report shows. For the first time, the Sixth Assessment Report provides a more detailed regional assessment of climate change, including a focus on useful information that can inform risk assessment, adaptation, and other decision-making, and a new framework that helps translate physical changes in the climate – heat, cold, rain, drought, snow, wind, coastal flooding and more – into what they mean for society and ecosystems.
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Adaptation Efforts and Policy Guidelines for Bangladesh at Global Warming of 1.5°C, 2°C, and 4°C: Adaptation Efforts and Policy Guidelines for Bangladesh at Specific Warming Levels (Modern Challenges and Approaches to Humanitarian Engineering)
Bangladesh is going to be the worst-hit country from the climate change. The impacts of climate change at specific warming levels (SWLs) of 1.5°C, 2°C, and 4°C upon the natural and social systems of Bangladesh are assessed. Eleven regional climate models' findings show that the average Bangladesh summer temperature is likely to rise from 3.24°C to 5.77°C while the mean annual precipitation is likely to increase up to 25% by the end of the century. The yield trends of Bangladesh in terms of Boro and Aman rice are projected to gradually decrease from 2-15% at a specific warming level of 1.5°C, 5-20% at a specific warming level of 2°C, and 5-25% at a specific warming level of 4°C. A few adaptation options are proposed for different SWLs and sea-level rise. Managing climate for SWLs could be for ‘short term' up to 2020, ‘medium term' up to 2050, and ‘long term' up to 2080. The end goal is a sustainable, resilient, and transformed Bangladesh, where additional policy documents, strategies, and action plans to mainstream adaptation to combat climate change are necessary.
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The Urban Drainage Study for Gopalganj Pourashava Considering Future Climate Change Impacts(Water Management: A View from Multidisciplinary Perspectives )
This study focuses on an investigation, through hydraulic modelling, of the urban drainage systems in designing suitable drainage infrastructures for Gopalganj Pourashava by considering the possible impact of climate change on drainage. The daily rainfall data of Madaripur station from the Bangladesh Meteorological Department (BMD) for the base period of 1987–2016 has been analysed to prepare the IDF (Intensity–Duration–Frequency) curves for different return periods by fitting Extreme Value Type-1 (Gumbel) Distribution. Projected rainfall data has been obtained from 11 Regional Climate Models simulated considering high-end scenarios (RCP8.5) over the CORDEX South Asia domain for the near future (2017–2046). Design hyetographs were developed for 10 years 2-hour storm, which was later applied to generate runoff using the SWMM model. Water levels obtained from the frequency analysis at Atharobanki and the peak flow of Old Madhumati at Haridaspur for a 20-year return period are then used as boundary conditions for the model. Afterwards, natural canals which overtopped during the simulation have been identified. Finally, five alternative design conditions based on node flooding have been proposed to improve the urban drainage system. A comparison between the present and future drainage scenarios under different climate conditions has also been represented.
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The Ganges River Basin: Status and Challenges in Water, Environment and Livelihoods (Earthscan Series on Major River Basins of the World)
The Ganges is one of the most complex yet fascinating river systems in the world. The basin is characterized by a high degree of heterogeneity from climatic, hydrological, geomorphological, cultural, environmental and socio-economic perspectives. More than 500 million people are directly or indirectly dependent upon the Ganges River Basin, which spans China, Nepal, India and Bangladesh. While there are many books covering one aspect of the Ganges, ranging from hydrology to cultural significance, this book is unique in presenting a comprehensive inter-disciplinary overview of the key issues and challenges facing the region.
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Assessment of Sea Level Rise on Bangladesh CoastSea level risethrough Trend Analysis
The coastal zone of Bangladesh is most vulnerable to climate change because of its geographic location, flat topography, high population density, high level of poverty, and reliance of many livelihoods on climate sensitive sectors particularly, agriculture, fisheries and water resources. The average elevation of the southwest coastal zone ranges from 1m to 2m and in the southeast coastal zone it is 4 to 5m. The risks from adverse climate induced sea level rise will increase the risks of the already vulnerable population in the coastal region. This book provides information on the trends of the tidal water level to visualize the historic change of sea level rise along the coast of Bangladesh.
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Retrospective Analysis of Agro-meteorological Information in Bangladesh
Agriculture production is largely depends on the weather and climate information. Being agrarian country, the information derived from hydro-meteorological and satellite observations are not readily available or analyzed to provide fruitful information for crop growth. This book provides useful information of various types of risks indicators (drought, floods etc.) derived from the agro-metrological data. Information were presented for different crop seasons and for different agro-ecological zones of Bangladesh. It also determine ago-climate zones of Bangladesh using multivariate analysis of climatic variables.
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Geoinformatics for Climate Change Studies
Climate change is increasingly being considered a critical topic in research and policy-making. Evidences related to climate change deal with spatial and non-spatial data, which can be utilized for policy formulation. Geoinformatics, which includes remote sensing, GIS, GPS, and ICT, provides the most relevant technology to monitor climate change-related variables at different dimensions and scales. Geoinformatics for Climate Change Studies discusses the art of using this technology for investigating, monitoring, documenting, and understanding the impacts of climate change. This book provides information on the concepts and uses of geoinformatics, and focuses on filling the gap in the available literature on the subject by bringing together concepts, theories, and experiences of experts in this field.
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Engineering Concerns of Flood
This book has been designed as a reference work on various engineering aspects related to the causes and consequences of flood, which is a very common natural hazard in Bangladesh. Bangladesh is a small country of 147570 sq. km., but has a very large population of about 130 million, majority of whom are poor. The economic condition of Bangladeshi people makes them very vulnerable to the adverse effects of natural forces. Lack of proper planning and preparedness, poor quality of infrastructure and their inadequate maintenance also add to people's sufferings and magnitude of loss. This book is an outcome of a systematic research initiative that was undertaken by the academics of Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET) during and after the 1998 flood that lasted for several months causing havoc to almost every spheres of life.
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Last updated on 27 March 2023
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